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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
57.7 → 58.4 (+0.7 over last 6 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Palermo (H) | 57.2 -0.5 | |
| 06 Sep Verona (A) | 57.0 -0.2 | |
| 11 Sep Empoli (A) | 57.5 +0.5 | |
| 20 Sep Südtirol (H) | 57.5 0.0 | |
| 10 Oct Cremonese (H) | 58.4 +0.9 |
64.2 → 63.1 (-1.1 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Pisa (A) | 64.4 -0.4 | |
| 05 Sep Südtirol (A) | 64.6 +0.2 | |
| 12 Sep Carrarese (H) | 65.1 +0.5 | |
| 19 Sep Sampdoria (A) | 64.4 -0.7 | |
| 11 Oct Mantova (H) | 63.1 -1.3 |
Arezzo trail Catanzaro by 153 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 23 in Italy.
Arezzo arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.7 rating points over their last 6 matches; Catanzaro have moved -1.1 over their last 10.
Arezzo first climbed to joint #437 in our European rankings on 10 October 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Catanzaro have ever held is 65.2, first set on 12 September 2026.