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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
59.6 → 60.2 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Carrarese (H) | 59.0 -0.1 | |
| 05 Sep Benevento (H) | 59.7 +0.7 | |
| 12 Sep Padova (A) | 60.5 +0.8 | |
| 19 Sep Avellino (H) | 60.2 -0.3 | |
| 10 Oct Südtirol (A) | 60.2 0.0 |
64.2 → 63.0 (-1.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug Entella (A) | 63.4 -0.1 | |
| 06 Sep Mantova (H) | 63.9 +0.5 | |
| 12 Sep Cremonese (H) | 63.9 0.0 | |
| 18 Sep Juve Stabia (A) | 63.8 -0.1 | |
| 10 Oct Benevento (A) | 63.0 -0.8 |
Cesena sit 95 places above Ascoli in our European rankings, and 16 places above them in Italy.
Ascoli arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches against Cesena's -1.2.
Ascoli first climbed to joint #190 in our European rankings on 8 November 2022.
Cesena first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 66.3 on 20 December 2025.