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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
84.7 → 84.4 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep Newcastle (A) | 84.8 +0.6 | |
| 12 Sep Brentford (H) | 85.4 +0.6 | |
| 17 Sep Real Sociedad (A) | 84.7 -0.7 | |
| 20 Sep Liverpool (H) | 84.0 -0.7 | |
| 10 Oct Chelsea (A) | 84.4 +0.4 |
91.1 → 90.8 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep Coventry (H) | 90.9 -0.1 | |
| 08 Sep Porto (A) | 91.6 +0.7 | |
| 13 Sep Man United (A) | 91.6 0.0 | |
| 20 Sep Sunderland (H) | 90.4 -1.2 | |
| 11 Oct Liverpool (A) | 90.8 +0.4 |
Bournemouth trail Manchester City by 11 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 5 in England.
Last time these teams played, on 23 August 2026, Bournemouth lost 0.4 rating points.
Bournemouth first climbed to joint #12 in our European rankings on 3 February 2025.
The best xGtoday rating Manchester City have ever held is 99.5, first set on 6 September 2022.