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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
78.4 → 79.0 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep Dortmund (H) | 79.2 -0.1 | |
| 12 Sep Stuttgart (H) | 79.5 +0.3 | |
| 17 Sep OFI Crete (A) | 79.3 -0.2 | |
| 20 Sep Paderborn 07 (A) | 79.8 +0.5 | |
| 10 Oct Hamburg (H) | 79.0 -0.8 |
77.3 → 77.9 (+0.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Bremen (H) | 76.1 +0.7 | |
| 05 Sep Paderborn 07 (A) | 76.4 +0.3 | |
| 12 Sep Gladbach (H) | 77.0 +0.6 | |
| 19 Sep Frankfurt (A) | 77.8 +0.8 | |
| 11 Oct Schalke 04 (H) | 77.9 +0.1 |
TSG Hoffenheim sit 7 places above SC Freiburg in our European rankings, and 1 place above them in Germany.
Last time these teams played, on 14 February 2026, TSG Hoffenheim gained 0.5 rating points.
TSG Hoffenheim first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 83.9 on 11 May 2019.
SC Freiburg first climbed to #32 in our European rankings on 15 September 2022.