Fiorentina vs AC Milan prediction | 11 Apr 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Fiorentina Rating: 76.8
H
31%
11 April 2027
Serie A
D
29%
AC Milan Rating: 81.4
A
39%
Fiorentina
Ranking: #54 overall, #10 in Italy

76.9 → 76.8 (-0.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 29 Aug Frosinone (H) 76.0 +0.2
1-2 05 Sep Torino (H) 76.5 +0.5
2-4 11 Sep Venezia (A) 77.7 +1.2
1-1 20 Sep Napoli (H) 77.4 -0.3
2-1 10 Oct Genoa (A) 76.8 -0.6
AC Milan
Ranking: #30 overall, #5 in Italy

82.5 → 81.4 (-1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 06 Sep Juventus (A) 81.7 -0.5
2-2 12 Sep Lazio (A) 81.0 -0.7
0-2 16 Sep Benfica (H) 81.3 +0.3
3-0 20 Sep Lecce (H) 81.6 +0.3
1-1 11 Oct Sassuolo (A) 81.4 -0.2

Fiorentina vs AC Milan: by the numbers

AC Milan sit 24 places above Fiorentina in our European rankings, and 5 places above them in Italy.

The recent trend shows Fiorentina on the rise, -0.1 rating points over their last 10 matches, while AC Milan has gone the other way at -1.1.

Last time these teams played, on 11 January 2026, Fiorentina gained 0.3 rating points.

Fiorentina first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 83.5 on 20 January 2019.

The highest AC Milan have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #10, first reached on 19 October 2024.