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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
94.5 → 94.8 (+0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep Napoli (A) | 94.9 +0.6 | |
| 12 Sep Sunderland (A) | 94.5 -0.4 | |
| 19 Sep Brighton (A) | 94.5 0.0 | |
| 10 Oct Leeds Utd (H) | 94.7 +0.2 | |
| 13 Oct Lille (H) | 94.8 +0.1 |
83.5 → 83.8 (+0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep Nottm Forest (H) | 82.5 -1.3 | |
| 19 Sep Tottenham (A) | 82.4 -0.1 | |
| 10 Oct Brentford (H) | 83.1 +0.7 | |
| 14 Oct Fenerbahçe (H) | 83.3 +0.2 | |
| 17 Oct Newcastle (A) | 83.8 +0.5 |
Arsenal sit 16 places above Aston Villa in our European rankings, and 7 places above them in England.
Last time these teams played, on 31 August 2026, Arsenal gained 0.2 rating points.
Arsenal first climbed to #2 in our European rankings on 14 February 2024.
Aston Villa first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 85.2 on 16 May 2025.