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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
84.8 → 83.3 (-1.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep Sunderland (H) | 84.1 -0.9 | |
| 12 Sep Bournemouth (A) | 83.5 -0.6 | |
| 18 Sep Chelsea (H) | 84.4 +0.9 | |
| 10 Oct Aston Villa (A) | 83.7 -0.7 | |
| 17 Oct Liverpool (H) | 83.3 -0.4 |
83.9 → 82.4 (-1.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Brentford (H) | 81.5 -0.2 | |
| 05 Sep Brighton (A) | 82.1 +0.6 | |
| 14 Sep Newcastle (H) | 82.7 +0.6 | |
| 20 Sep Crystal Palace (H) | 82.6 -0.1 | |
| 10 Oct Arsenal (A) | 82.4 -0.2 |
Leeds United trail Brentford by 3 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in England.
Leeds United lost 0.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 30 August 2026.
Brentford first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 85.4 on 2 May 2026.
The highest Leeds United have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #17, first reached on 20 April 2026.