Swansea City vs Derby County prediction | 17 Apr 2027 | xGtoday


Swansea City
Ranking: #180 overall, #26 in England

63.5 → 67.3 (+3.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-1 12 Sep Burnley (H) 66.2 +0.6
1-2 19 Sep Lincoln City (A) 65.4 -0.8
2-1 10 Oct Norwich City (H) 66.2 +0.8
0-1 13 Oct Millwall (A) 67.0 +0.8
0-1 17 Oct West Ham (H) 67.3 +0.3
Derby County
Ranking: #295 overall, #40 in England

65.0 → 62.8 (-2.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct QPR (A) 62.8 -0.5
0-1 17 Oct Stoke City (H) 62.8 0.0

Swansea City vs Derby County: by the numbers

Swansea City sit 115 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 14 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Swansea City on the rise, +3.8 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Derby County has gone the other way at -2.2.

Swansea City gained 1.4 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 29 August 2026.

Swansea City first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 74.7 on 27 July 2017.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 December 2018.