Toulouse FC vs Paris FC prediction | 17 Apr 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

Toulouse FC Rating: 78.8
H
50%
17 April 2027
Ligue 1
D
27%
Paris FC Rating: 76.6
A
23%
Toulouse FC
Ranking: #43 overall, #5 in France

77.7 → 78.8 (+1.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 03 Sep Lille (H) 78.2 +1.0
2-2 12 Sep Lorient (A) 78.8 +0.6
3-2 19 Sep Le Havre (H) 78.0 -0.8
2-2 10 Oct Monaco (A) 78.4 +0.4
0-3 16 Oct Le Mans (A) 78.8 +0.4
Paris FC
Ranking: #57 overall, #8 in France

70.5 → 76.6 (+6.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 30 Aug Nice (H) 74.5 +0.8
2-3 06 Sep Marseille (A) 76.0 +1.5
0-0 12 Sep Lyon (H) 75.9 -0.1
2-1 19 Sep Strasbourg (H) 76.2 +0.3
1-0 10 Oct Lorient (A) 76.6 +0.4

Toulouse FC vs Paris FC: by the numbers

Paris FC trail Toulouse FC by 14 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in France.

Paris FC arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +6.1 rating points over their last 10 matches against Toulouse FC's +1.1.

Last time these teams played, on 21 February 2026, Paris FC lost 0.3 rating points.

The highest Toulouse FC have ever stood in our European rankings is #37, first reached on 4 December 2024.

The best xGtoday rating Paris FC have ever held is 76.6, first set on 10 October 2026.