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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
59.6 → 62.1 (+2.5 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 26 Padova (A) | 60.5 +0.8 | |
| 19 Sep 26 Avellino (H) | 60.2 -0.3 | |
| 10 Oct 26 Südtirol (A) | 60.2 0.0 | |
| 17 Oct 26 Empoli (H) | 60.6 +0.4 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Catanzaro (A) | 62.1 +1.5 |
63.4 → 63.8 (+0.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 26 Sampdoria (H) | 62.8 -0.7 | |
| 20 Sep 26 Pisa (H) | 62.6 -0.2 | |
| 11 Oct 26 Catanzaro (A) | 63.9 +1.3 | |
| 17 Oct 26 Palermo (H) | 63.9 0.0 | |
| 24 Oct 26 Entella (A) | 63.8 -0.1 |
Ascoli trail Mantova by 61 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 7 in Italy.
The recent trend shows Ascoli on the rise, +2.5 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Mantova has also improved, albeit more slowly at +0.4.
Ascoli first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 66.1 on 27 August 2022.
Mantova first climbed to #248 in our European rankings on 5 September 2026.