Bristol City vs Derby County prediction | 24 Apr 2027 | xGtoday


Bristol City
Ranking: #288 overall, #39 in England

60.5 → 63.0 (+2.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 18 Sep 26 Watford (H) 63.4 +0.5
1-1 10 Oct 26 Charlton (A) 63.1 -0.3
0-1 13 Oct 26 Blackburn (H) 63.9 +0.8
0-1 17 Oct 26 Sheff Utd (H) 63.2 -0.7
0-0 24 Oct 26 Stoke City (A) 63.0 -0.2
Derby County
Ranking: #318 overall, #41 in England

63.6 → 62.2 (-1.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 19 Sep 26 Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
1-1 10 Oct 26 Wrexham (H) 63.3 -0.8
4-1 14 Oct 26 QPR (A) 62.8 -0.5
0-1 17 Oct 26 Stoke City (H) 62.9 +0.1
1-1 24 Oct 26 Sheff Utd (A) 62.2 -0.7

Bristol City vs Derby County: by the numbers

Derby County trail Bristol City by 30 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 2 in England.

The recent trend shows Bristol City on the rise, +2.5 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Derby County has gone the other way at -1.4.

Bristol City lost 1.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 30 January 2026.

Bristol City first climbed to joint #125 in our European rankings on 2 March 2019.

Derby County first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 68.4 on 22 December 2018.