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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
80.1 → 78.7 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 26 Nice (A) | 78.6 +0.1 | |
| 10 Oct 26 Le Havre (H) | 78.2 -0.4 | |
| 13 Oct 26 Arsenal (A) | 78.1 -0.1 | |
| 17 Oct 26 Brest (H) | 78.6 +0.5 | |
| 21 Oct 26 Galatasaray (H) | 78.7 +0.1 |
79.6 → 78.2 (-1.4 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 26 Lens (H) | 80.3 +0.3 | |
| 10 Oct 26 Toulouse (H) | 79.9 -0.4 | |
| 15 Oct 26 CSKA Sofia (A) | 79.4 -0.5 | |
| 18 Oct 26 Lorient (A) | 78.6 -0.8 | |
| 22 Oct 26 Freiburg (H) | 78.2 -0.4 |
LOSC Lille sit 3 places above AS Monaco in our European rankings, and 1 place above them in France.
Last time these teams played, on 10 May 2026, AS Monaco lost 0.1 rating points.
LOSC Lille first climbed to joint #13 in our European rankings on 14 August 2023.
AS Monaco first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 89.0 on 27 August 2017.