Watford vs Birmingham City prediction | 24 Apr 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

24 April 2027
Championship
Watford Rating: 60.3
H
27%
D
28%
Birmingham City Rating: 67.9
A
46%
Watford
Ranking: #384 overall, #47 in England

63.7 → 60.3 (-3.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 18 Sep 26 Bristol City (A) 61.0 -0.4
0-4 10 Oct 26 Burnley (H) 60.3 -0.7
5-1 13 Oct 26 Cardiff City (A) 59.6 -0.7
2-0 17 Oct 26 Charlton (H) 60.4 +0.8
1-0 24 Oct 26 Wolves (A) 60.3 -0.1
Birmingham City
Ranking: #169 overall, #25 in England

66.6 → 67.9 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 19 Sep 26 Boro (H) 67.8 -0.5
0-1 10 Oct 26 West Brom (A) 68.8 +1.0
4-0 13 Oct 26 Preston (H) 69.2 +0.4
3-0 17 Oct 26 QPR (H) 69.1 -0.1
1-0 24 Oct 26 Cardiff City (A) 67.9 -1.2

Watford vs Birmingham City: by the numbers

There are 215 places between these two in our European rankings, with Birmingham City the higher, and 22 places between them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Birmingham City have moved +1.3 rating points, against -3.4 for Watford.

Birmingham City lost 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 1 January 2026.

Watford first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 78.8 on 22 December 2018.

Birmingham City first climbed to joint #127 in our European rankings on 22 December 2018.