Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction | 1 May 2027 | xGtoday


Liverpool
Ranking: #8 overall, #3 in England

87.3 → 88.3 (+1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-6 14 Oct 26 LASK (A) 87.8 +0.2
1-2 17 Oct 26 Brentford (A) 88.3 +0.5
4-3 20 Oct 26 Villarreal (H) 88.4 +0.1
2-0 25 Oct 26 Brighton (H) 88.1 -0.3
0-1 01 Nov 26 Arsenal (H) 88.3 +0.2
Chelsea
Ranking: #12 overall, #6 in England

86.0 → 85.5 (-0.5 over last 10 games)

Rating
3-0 18 Sep 26 Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
5-1 10 Oct 26 Bournemouth (H) 84.6 -0.4
0-2 17 Oct 26 Everton (A) 85.3 +0.7
0-2 24 Oct 26 Tottenham (H) 84.8 -0.5
2-0 31 Oct 26 Man United (H) 85.5 +0.7

Liverpool vs Chelsea: by the numbers

Chelsea trail Liverpool by 4 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 3 in England.

Over their last 10 matches Liverpool have moved +1.0 rating points, against -0.5 for Chelsea.

Last time these teams played, on 9 May 2026, Liverpool lost 0.1 rating points.

Liverpool first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 97.6 on 1 February 2025.

The highest Chelsea have ever stood in our European rankings is #2, first reached on 5 May 2021.