Millwall vs Stoke City prediction | 1 May 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1 May 2027
Championship
Millwall Rating: 68.6
H
63%
D
22%
Stoke City Rating: 59.7
A
14%
Millwall
Ranking: #161 overall, #25 in England

66.9 → 68.6 (+1.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 13 Oct 26 Swansea City (H) 67.8 -0.8
2-2 17 Oct 26 Lincoln City (H) 68.1 +0.3
2-1 24 Oct 26 Portsmouth (A) 68.1 0.0
4-1 31 Oct 26 Derby (H) 68.7 +0.6
3-0 03 Nov 26 Birmingham (A) 68.6 -0.1
Stoke City
Ranking: #401 overall, #47 in England

60.0 → 59.7 (-0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 13 Oct 26 Boro (H) 59.1 -0.4
0-1 17 Oct 26 Derby (A) 59.0 -0.1
0-0 24 Oct 26 Bristol City (H) 59.3 +0.3
2-0 31 Oct 26 Preston (H) 60.2 +0.9
1-2 03 Nov 26 Blackburn (A) 59.7 -0.5

Millwall vs Stoke City: by the numbers

Stoke City trail Millwall by 240 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 22 in England.

The recent trend shows Millwall on the rise, +1.7 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Stoke City has gone the other way at -0.3.

Millwall gained 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 21 April 2026.

Millwall first climbed to joint #126 in our European rankings on 3 July 2020.

The best xGtoday rating Stoke City have ever held is 75.0, first set on 12 August 2017.