Wrexham vs Bristol City prediction | 1 May 2027 | xGtoday

xGtoday

pre-match analysis

1 May 2027
Championship
Wrexham Rating: 64.7
H
45%
D
28%
Bristol City Rating: 63.9
A
27%
Wrexham
Ranking: #236 overall, #35 in England

65.7 → 64.7 (-1.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 Oct 26 Derby (A) 65.2 +0.7
1-2 13 Oct 26 West Brom (H) 64.6 -0.6
4-1 17 Oct 26 Preston (H) 64.9 +0.3
2-0 24 Oct 26 Blackburn (A) 65.0 +0.1
1-0 30 Oct 26 Sheff Utd (A) 64.7 -0.3
Bristol City
Ranking: #256 overall, #38 in England

60.6 → 63.9 (+3.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 10 Oct 26 Charlton (A) 63.1 -0.3
0-1 13 Oct 26 Blackburn (H) 63.9 +0.8
0-1 17 Oct 26 Sheff Utd (H) 63.2 -0.7
0-0 24 Oct 26 Stoke City (A) 63.0 -0.2
2-3 31 Oct 26 Bolton (A) 63.9 +0.9

Wrexham vs Bristol City: by the numbers

There are 20 places between these two in our European rankings, with Wrexham the higher, and 3 places between them in England.

Bristol City arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +3.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Wrexham's -1.0.

Last time these teams played, on 17 February 2026, Bristol City lost 0.7 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Wrexham have ever held is 66.0, first set on 21 February 2026.

Bristol City first climbed to joint #125 in our European rankings on 2 March 2019.